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Children are disappearing from migration data and into increased danger on Balkans Route 

Official migration data may be significantly undercounting the number of people travelling on the Balkans route, putting thousands of children at greater risk of abuse and exploitation without systems to protect them, according to a new Save the Children analysis ahead of new EU migration rules taking effect in June
01 May 2026

The EU Border and Coast Guard Agency Frontex reported just over 12,500 irregular crossings along the Western Balkans route in 2025, a 42% drop from the previous year, which has been credited to investment in tighter border enforcement and anti smuggling measures. 

However regional and local migration data analysed by Save the Children suggests significant numbers of migrants and refugees continue to arrive in Europe through the Balkans but using more dangerous routes and smuggling networks, with increasing numbers of children invisible in the data and less being spent to protect them. 

A Save the Children study in 2025 found that funding for child protection services such as reception and asylum centres, legal aid and guardianship has declined.

The exact number of arrivals is impossible to calculate but in Bosnia and Herzegovina alone, authorities recorded nearly 14,000 new arrivals last year while Slovenian authorities recorded more than 24,000 irregular entries from Croatia. Croatia registered almost 15,000 first-time asylum seekers while Germany, a primary destination country for migrants, registered over 113,000 first time asylum seekers, more than half from Afghanistan, Syria, and Türkiye. 

Children travelling along the Balkans route have told our teams about the severe abuse and exploitation they faced on their journey to safety including violence, abuse and extortion by smugglers and criminal groups, and sexual exploitation and informal labour. They also face illegal pushbacks at EU borders where they are met with violence instead of access to services and support.

The findings come as officials meet today for the EU-Western Balkans Senior Officials Meeting on Justice and Home Affairs, and before the EU’s Pact on Migration and Asylum takes effect on 12 June, reshaping how member states manage external borders. 

Save the Children said the implementation of the Pact and EU external action must keep child protection at its core, not border management objectives. This requires mapping protection gaps, using strong child specific data and research, and taking shared responsibility across countries of transit and destination. 

Federica Toscano, Save the Children’s Senior Advisor for Children on the Move in Europe, said: 

“The numbers suggest that there are continued, large protection needs along the Balkan route, at the same time that children are disappearing from the data on migration.  

“When children are invisible, they cannot be protected. As children on the move become less visible in official data, the services designed to protect them are disappearing. Children end up being pushed into risk while support services for them are being scaled back. 

“Tighter border enforcement at the expense of protection measures is driving children into greater danger, forcing them to take more perilous journeys as the protection they depend on is being cut. The EU must adopt laws and policies grounded in a complete and accurate understanding of migration realities, or it will continue to leave vulnerable children unseen and unprotected along migration routes.” 


Due to declining protection funding, the number of reception and asylum centres in the transit countries of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina has fallen by more than half since 2024, making access to registration and support more difficult for children. From the start of 2024 to April 2026, Save the Children country teams reported that the number of operating asylum and reception centres in Serbia dropped from 11 to 6, while in Bosnia and Herzegovina, just two of four reception centres remain operational. 

Other key services for migrant children such as legal aid, guardianship, and psychosocial support have also been cut.   

ENDS

MEDIA CONTACT: media.team@savethechildren.org.au

Notes to Editor: 

  • Save the Children’s migration programme initiative, the Balkans Migration and Displacement Hub (BMDH), has been monitoring and analysing migration trends across the Balkans since 2018.  

  • Methodology: For this analysis, Save the Children’s BMDH compared official EU reporting from Frontex on the West Balkans to migration data from multiple data sources, including national migration and asylum data from transit countries along the Balkans route (such as Greece, Bulgaria, Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina), as well as data from key countries of destination in the EU+ (such as Germany and Switzerland).  This analysis is complemented by direct observations and reporting from Save the Children programmes, along with information from other humanitarian and civil society actors providing frontline services to refugees and migrants. 

  • The BMDH views the Balkans route as an integral part of the wider Eastern Mediterranean route, one of the main migration routes to Europe for refugees and migrants from Asia and Africa seeking protection. This integrated approach is essential to accurately understand migration dynamics, as routes are interconnected, highly adaptable and influenced by multiple factors. 

  • Frontex, as the EU agency responsible for managing the Union’s external borders, monitors the Western Balkans and Eastern Mediterranean routes separately. Its reporting focuses on individual external borders, documenting “incidents” and “crossings” at specific points, rather than analysing the Balkans route as a single, continuous migration pathway. As a result, broader movement patterns across the region may be only partially reflected in official statistics. 

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